The tale of the Trojan Horse recounts the story of a huge wooden horse constructed by the Greeks in order to lull the Trojans into a false sense of security. Inside this wooden horse were hidden Greek warriors, and as the Greek army pretended to sail away from the city of Troy after a ten-year war, the supposedly victorious Trojans pulled the Horse into their city to celebrate their victory. But that night, the soldiers inside the Horse crept out of hiding, opened the gates to the city of Troy allowing the Greek army to enter and destroy the city. Guess what. The Trojan Horse is back, only this time it comes disguised as the real estate short sale.

Short Sales are the trojan horse threatening the destruction of the housing market. I never thought that I would come to that conclusion but a look at the statistics are both shocking and revealing regarding short sales and what they’ve done to the housing market here in my home town of Grants Pass. Our local market area has currently a total of 1240 properties that were listed in the month of June, 2010. During that 30 day period we sold 84 properties, we had another 84 go pending, and 34 more became contingent sales. That’s not bad but by no means good. The amazing part is that short sales represented 10% of the total inventory for sale and yet out of over 100 properties that were listed as short sales, there were only 4 that actually sold. That’s a mere 3/10 of 1% of the total activity in the market. Sadly, short sales are influencing the price of all the other properties in the market, contaminating everything around them because short sellers have no stake in the outcome of the sale.

Let me explain. Continue reading Short Sales and the Trojan Horse

There is good news and bad news for the southern Oregon housing market. First, the good news: Sales volume and prices are up slightly to moderately and days-on-market and number-of-homes for sale are down. All this bodes well for a continuing recovery. Business was fairly brisk for home sales in Grants Pass and the Southern Oregon real estate market in general, and the months of March and April were very good as buyers scrambled to take advantage of the expiration of the home buyers tax credit that ended on April 30th. We had until June 30th to close those contracts and the last week of June we were very busy with closings. The house and senate both passed an extension of time to complete closings for those sales that were hung up and couldn’t meet the June 30th deadline. President Obama is expected to sign it. That’s good because I had a number of sales that were supposed to meet that deadline and couldn’t.

Speaking of short sales, Continue reading Southern Oregon Real Estate Market Update

Oh, if only the problems of the world could be solved with the writing of a single blog. But we all know better; most problems are easy to identify but tough to solve. Short sales in the Southern Oregon Real estate market are no different, and despite my own self-imposed skepticism, I will point out some obvious problems with the short sale process and suggest a simple way to streamline the procedure.

A short sale occurs when a homeowner attempts to sell his home for a price that is less than what is owed on the mortgage. It is incumbent upon the seller to inform the bank of the their intentions to sell for a reduced price, but simply informing the bank is no guarantee of lender cooperation. Often the short sale is additionally complicated by 2nd and 3rd mortgages that are attached to the deed and must be removed before the deed can be transferred to another owner. Nevertheless, the mortgage holder in the first position has Continue reading Short Sales and the Southern Oregon Real Estate Market, Part II

So what’s wrong with the Southern Oregon real estate market and what can we do to fix it? Recently, the stock market rallied to 10,000 only to dip back down and regress due to a loss of confidence for a sustainable economic recovery over a lot of things, from unemployment to inflation. Meanwhile, the stability of the Housing Sector may have strengthened, but only incrementally. The overall road to recovery for the Housing Sector continues to be road-blocked by foreclosures and short sales.

Like communities nationwide, the Southern Oregon real estate market is undergoing a profound increase in the overall numbers of Continue reading Foreclosures, Short Sales, and the Southern Oregon Real Estate Market – Part I

These days in the Southern Oregon real estate market, listings and prices are all over the map. Generally speaking, in this market teeming with uncertainty and overshadowed by a lumbering, slow economic recovery, the properties that sell are the ones that are at bargain basement prices, plain and simple. Often multiple offers come in on foreclosures that are listed for a “bargain-basement price,” and anything priced over 400K is a slow boat sailing toward China.

Given this bleak reality check driven by low-end distressed prices, there is one proven “must sell” strategy. First, determine what you believe is a fair price for the property. Next, determine what your bottom line price would be for the property. Then, decide Continue reading Foreclosures, Bargain Basement Prices, and the Southern Oregon Real Estate Market

These days the Southern Oregon real estate market, along with real estate markets across the country, are dominated by short sales and foreclosures. For the past 2 years, real estate experts have continued to predict that until the inventory of short sales and foreclosures diminishes, overall property values will continue to be depressed.

Imagine trying to sell your home by competing on price against short sales or foreclosures. It doesn’t take an expert to predict that the attainable price for a non-distressed property has been driven downward by market conditions, and the Southern Oregon real estate market is no exception to these circumstances.

So what are sellers to do? Continue reading Short Sales, Foreclosures, and the Southern Oregon Real Estate Market

From my perspective as a real estate professional in the Southern Oregon real estate market, I’ve been dealing with the human complexities of economic recovery for a market turned upside down since 2006. I can accurately report that economic recovery has been making incremental forward progress over the last year as the foreclosure market evolves. For over two years, the growing number of foreclosures was traceable to the increased payment load for borrowers stuck with variable sub-prime loans converting to higher interest rates, and the accompanying increased payment load broke the back of many home owners.

But lately, borrowers with fixed rate mortgages are joining the ranks of the distressed as foreclosures proceedings respond to the fresh fuel of unemployment. Even the affordable 30 year fixed rate mortgage payment can become a home wrecker when a borrower can’t find work. Before the economy can begin to truly heal, recovery for the Southern Oregon real estate market means enduring the hardship that comes from unemployment. And amid this bleak reality stands the good news that while the numbers of foreclosures are still cause for alarm, at least the numbers are diminishing.

Meanwhile, milling in the darkness are the forecasts of many experts that point to an end of the Great Recession as financial declines grind to a halt and the indicators for growth begin to point to an impending economic recovery. With a little luck and a lot of patience, the U.S. and global economies at large will begin to correct themselves, employment will rise, and distressed borrowers will find a way to stay in their homes.

As we struggle for economic recovery on the national, global, and local level, I am drawn to the good news for young, trustworthy Buyers: take advantage of the low prices, excellent interest rates, and an $8000 tax credit to make your dreams for home ownership come true. The window of buying opportunity is currently wide open but it will be closing soon. And this could be the best time to get up off your hands and sign on the line that is dotted.

Michael Masters

A Socially Conscious Real Estate Consultant

Are you a homeowner over 62 years of age who either owns their home free and clear or has reduced the mortgage to a small amount? You may well qualify for the benefits of a reverse mortgage in order to assist you with the financial demands of retirement. During my career as a real estate consultant in the Southern Oregon real estate market, I have discussed the advantages of the reverse mortgage with many seniors and have encountered many misperceptions about the program. I write this blog to help with the basics of the reverse mortgage. Perhaps it is right for you.

Let’s begin with the qualifications. You must be 62 years old (or older) and you must own either a single family home or a 1-4 unit home in which you occupy one of the units. If you live in the Southern Oregon real estate market and you live in a condominium, it must be HUD approved. And if you live in a Continue reading Consumer Confidence, Foreclosures, and the Southern Oregon Real Estate Market

For the those of you who may not have heard, for the past 3 months the Consumer Confidence Index has risen, and while that may not make front-page headlines, the message to me is clear — the Southern Oregon real estate market has nowhere to go but up.

For real estate Sellers obsessed with the inflated inventory of foreclosures driving down prices, news about increased consumer confidence is the news they’ve been waiting for. And for Buyers obsessed by the belief that everyone is in trouble and real estate prices will only continue to plummet, its time to rethink their beliefs and decide whether or not to make that offer. After all, buy low, sell high.

But whenever I scan the classified ads in our local newspaper, the Daily Courier, I can’t help but notice that the pages continue to contain large numbers of legal declarations regarding impending foreclosure actions. But the Consumer Confidence numbers are at their highest level in 8 months.

What gives? Could the Consumer Confidence data possibly be misleading?

To answer my own question regarding the Southern Oregon real estate market, I ran a comparison of the overall numbers of foreclosures on the market for the last 2 months. Lo and behold, the numbers of foreclosures on the open market are shrinking, indicating that the worst may actually be behind us. Factor in recent legislation that encourages banks to modify mortgages in order to keep homeowners in their homes and we have positive signs that Southern Oregon real estate market recovery, like the stock market, is on the rise.

Michael Masters

A Socially Conscious Real Estate Consultant

The Southern Oregon real estate market has seen two consecutive months of increased sales, and while some will say it’s too early to predict recovery, it is safe to say that the real estate market is improving. It also appears that the Homeowner Affordability and Sustainability Plan created and endorsed by the U.S. Department of the Treasury is working. The thrust of this plan is for the Fed to assist banks to modify mortgages in order to stop foreclosures and short sales, and put an end to the devastating effects the inflated inventory of foreclosure properties is having on the housing sector, the U.S. economy, and the global recession.

The goal of the program is to Continue reading Foreclosures, Short Sales, and the Southern Oregon Real Estate Market